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17 August, 20:43

Find the indicated probabilities using the geometric distribution, the Poisson distribution, or the binomial distribution. Then determine if the events are unusual. If convenient, use the appropriate probability table or technology to find the probabilities.

A newspaper finds that the mean number of typographical errors per page is six. Find the probability that (a) exactly four typographical errors are found on a page, (b) at most four typographical errors are found on a page, and (c) more than four typographical errors are found on a page.

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  1. 17 August, 21:02
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    In this case, the Poisson distribution is the best one to use. The formula for Poisson distribution is given as:

    P[x] = e^-m * m^x / x!

    Where,

    m = mean number of typographical errors = 6

    x = sample value

    A. The probability of exactly 4 errors are found on a page is:

    P[4] = e^ (-6) * 6^4/4!

    P[4] = 0.1339

    B. The probability that at most 4 errors will be the summation of x = 0 to 4:

    P[0] = e^ (-6) * 6^0/0! = 2.479 E - 3

    P[1] = e^ (-6) * 6^1/1! = 0.01487

    P[2] = e^ (-6) * 6^2/2! = 0.04462

    P[3] = e^ (-6) * 6^3/3! = 0.08924

    Therefore summing up all including the P[4] in A gives:

    P[at most 4] = 0.2851

    C. The probability that more than 4 would be the complement of answer in B.

    P[more than 4] = 1 - P[at most 4]

    P[more than 4] = 1 - 0.2851

    P[more than 4] = 0.7149
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