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9 December, 15:28

A bag contains 20 white marbles and 30 black marbles. if 7 marbles are chosen, what is the probability that there will be 2 white marbles and 5 black marbles?

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  1. 9 December, 18:10
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    This is a hypergeometric distribution problem.

    Population (N=50=W+B) is divided into two classes, W (W=20) and B (B=30).

    We calculate the probability of choosing w (w=2) white and b (b=5) black marbles.

    Hypergeometric probability gives

    P (W, B, w, b) = C (W, w) C (B, b) / (C (W+B, w+b)

    where

    C (n, r) = n! / (r! (n-r) !) the number of combinations of choosing r out of n objects.

    Here

    P (20,30,2,5)

    =C (20,2) C (30,5) / (20+30, 2+5)

    =190*142506/99884400

    =0.2710

    Alternatively, doing the combinatorics way:

    #of ways to choose 2 from 20 = C (20,2)

    #of ways to choose 5 from 30=C (30,5)

    total #of ways = C (50,7)

    P (20,30,2,5) = C (20,2) * C (30,5) / C (50,7)

    =0.2710

    as before.
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