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2 May, 22:58

A store-owner purchases stereos from two companies. from company a, 450 stereos are purchased and 6% are found to be defective. from company b, 550 stereos are purchased and 4% are found to be defective. given that a stereo is defective, find the probability that it came from company

a. enter your answer as a percent, rounded to the nearest tenth of a percent.

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  1. 3 May, 02:24
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    Bayes’ theorem P (P|Q) = P (P∩Q) / P (Q) = P (Q∩P) / P (Q) = P (Q∩P) / P (P) * (P (P) / P (Q)) = P (Q|P) * (P (P) / P (Q)) Or just:P (P|Q) = P (Q|P) * (P (P) / P (Q))

    Company A: 6% x 450 = 27 are bad

    Company B: 4% x 550 = 22 are bad

    Total bad of defective stereos = 27 + 22 = 49

    P (A | Bad) = 27 / 49 = 0.5510

    So Probability that the defective one is from A = 0.5510 or 55.10%
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