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26 September, 06:38

To win the jackpot, 4 different numbers are randomly selected from 1 to 46 and one number from 1 to 22. The order of the first 4 numbers does not matter. What is the probability of winning the jackpot on one try?

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  1. 26 September, 07:43
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    The probability of winning the jackpot on one try is 2.78 * 10^-7

    Step-by-step explanation:

    There are 46 balls in total (46-1) + 1 = 46. (b-a) + 1 is the formula for number of elements between a and b included.

    We need to find the number of combinations possible of 4 balls (as order doesn't matter - 1234 is the sames as 2341). So the number of possible combinations of 4 balls taken from 1 - 46 is given by

    C = n! / (r! (n-r) !) where n is the number of possible balls = 46 and r the size of combination = 4 and! is factorial (ex 3! = 3*2*1) This gives for this case

    C = n! / (r! (n-r) !) = 46! / (4! (46-4) !) = 163,185 combinations.

    But as there is a fifth ball with (22-1) + 1 = 22 posible options each combination must be multiplied by 22 (for example 1234 22 is one but also 1234 10 is other)

    163,185*22 = 3,590,070 possibilities.

    The probability of winning is 1 in 3,590,070 possibilities. or

    p = 1 / 3,590,070 = 2.78 * 10^-7
  2. 26 September, 09:22
    0
    Probability of winning on one try : 1.16060875e-8

    Step-by-step explanation:

    For the first first 4 numbers.

    Probability is 1/46 for the first number. Since the numbers are different, and it doesnt matter the order, the second number has a probability now of 1/45, the third has a probability of 1/44 and the last one a probability of 1/43.

    Since the probability is dependan of the results of hitting the other number the probability of the first for numbers is the multiple of the 4 probabilities.

    So it is 1/46 * 1/45 * 1/44 * 1/43 = 1 / 3916440

    And that number is then multiplied by the probabilty of hitting the last number. 1/22

    So the final probability is:

    1/86161680 = 1.16060875e-8
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