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16 May, 01:23

Estimate the probability that the next time you turn on a light switch, you discover that a bulb does work.

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  1. 16 May, 01:32
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    Answer:Pr (Bulb does work) = 0.9993

    Step-by-step explanation:

    From my own experience, I would say, 1 out of 1500times I turn on the light, the bulb does not work.

    My subjective probability estimate that the bulb does not work = 1/1500

    And probability the bulb does work=

    1 - 1/1500

    Pr (Bulb does work) = 0.9993

    Therefore the subjective probability that the bulb does work is 0.9993
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