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31 March, 12:56

In a recent election there were 1000 eligible voters. They were asked to vote on two issues, A and B. The results were as follows: 100 people voted for A, 450 people voted for B, and 25 people voted for A and B. If one person is chosen at random from the 1000 eligible voters, find the following probabilities:

a. The person voted for A, given that he voted for B.

b. The person voted for B, given that he voted for A.

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  1. 31 March, 16:18
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    a) the probability is 1/4 (25%)

    b) the probability is 1/18 (5.55%)

    Step-by-step explanation:

    a) defining the events A = the person voted for A and the event B = the person voted for B, then for conditional probability we can use the theorem of Bayes. Thus,

    P (A/B) = P (A∩B) / P (A)

    Where

    P (A/B) = probability that the person voted for A, given that he voted for B

    P (A∩B) = probability that the person voted for A and B

    replacing values

    P (A/B) = P (A∩B) / P (A) = 25/total / 100/total = 1/4 (25%)

    b) similarly for B:

    P (B/A) = P (A∩B) / P (B) = 25/total / 450/total = 1/18 (5.55%)

    where

    P (A/B) = probability that the person voted for B, given that he voted for A
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