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15 December, 12:43

A company estimates that 0.8% of their products will fail after the original warranty period but within 2 years of the purchase, with a replacement cost of $400. If they offer a 2 year extended warranty for $27, what is the company's expected value of each warranty sold?

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  1. 15 December, 14:01
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    The expected value of each warranty sold is $23.8.

    Step-by-step explanation:

    0.8% probability of the product failling.

    If the product fails, the company will lose 400 - 27 = $373. So a net value of - 373.

    100 - 0.8 = 99.2% probability of the product not failling.

    If the product does not fail, the company gains $27.

    What is the company's expected value of each warranty sold?

    We multiply each outcome by its probability.

    0.008 * (-373) + 0.992*27 = 23.8

    The expected value of each warranty sold is $23.8.
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