Suppose I play baseball and I have two kinds of superstitions. When I have an amazing game, I try to wear the same socks for the next game. When I have terrible games, I throw away the hat I wore and buy a new one. Then I pay attention to whether I actually do better or worse in the next game. Is one of these rituals more likely to appear to work than the other?

Question

Social Studies

Elena Marks

5 March, 08:11

Suppose I play baseball and I have two kinds of superstitions. When I have an amazing game, I try to wear the same socks for the next game. When I have terrible games, I throw away the hat I wore and buy a new one. Then I pay attention to whether I actually do better or worse in the next game. Is one of these rituals more likely to appear to work than the other?

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Answers (1)

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John · Answer 1

d. Yes, probably the hat ritual will seem to work better because of regression to the mean

Explanation:

the correct answer is Yes, probably the hat ritual will seem to work better because of regression to the mean Because This regression suggests that I should do at least a little bit better after a good game and a little worse after a good game. So the rituals I do on terrible days are more effective.